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Climate Risk Factors of Enteric Waterborne Illness

Daniel Gillis1, John Holt, Dominique Charron, Abdel Maarouf and David Waltner-Toews
1University of Guelph
dgsubscribe@rogers.com

The threat of Global Warming suggests that Canada will experience a redistribution of the spatial-temporal risk associated with waterborne illness. This study quantifies various climate risk factors of waterborne disease using a Case-control study of hospitalization data, agricultural and land use indices, as well as observed and interpolated climate data. Agricultural and land use indices include livestock density and primary vegetation qualifiers as obtained from the Alberta Agriculture Census and the Global Land Cover 2000 project, respectively. The analysis relies heavily on Thin Plate Spline and Inverse Distance Weighting techniques to obtain point specific climate information for all case and control locations. Logistic models are used to investigate the potential risk of waterborne illness as resulting from different climate change scenarios when adjusting for the effect of spatial and temporal factors.


2005-04-06

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